These days, the theater work of any film is difficult to predict as always. It used to be a direct job of financial performance and whatever the competitors entered the theaters in the weeks after the film's release. Now, the popularity of streaming, video-caring services, a drop in the physical media market and the increase in the costs of modern blockbusters, all have played their role in changing the way cinemas and study are planning their theater windows.
Over the last few years, the average theater window has landed somewhere between 30 and 45 days through all wide editions, but that number oscillates from year to year and film to film. Leading to the mass closure of theaters during the Kovid-19 pandemic in 2020, there were several franchises and types of films that seemed to be guarantees for large carriers and long trails. But with Properties like Marvel's film universe now fight At the box office and more isolated events such as the Barbenheimer phenomenon catching the ZeTeist, it is difficult to know in advance how well a movie will make in the cinema.
However, we can predict with a certain accuracy of how long the film will remain on the big screen, coming out several factors. The box office performance in the first few weeks remains a strong indicator of longevity, but other things such as streaming synergy and the time of the year that comes out film also play a role.
The box office performance is still a great impact
Despite the increasingly complex market, box office performance is still the main indicator of how long the movie will remain. If your movie earns money for theaters, they will want to continue showing it. If it's nonsense, it will probably be the next to make room for something that can be more successful.
"Oppenheimer" in 2023 is an excellent example of a non-franchise with Rating of R, which still achieved the longest theater window of the year in 122 days. The reason? "Oppenheimer" is the third highest film with ranked And it was the second highest gross at the time of the announcement, only at the top of "Joker" and "Deadpool & Wolverine". The movie Christopher Nolan has earned just under $ 1 billion in the global treasurer. When you make so much money, the rest is not important - theaters will want to continue playing your movie, and the studio will want to keep it there.
That said, the film still had its own Starwar power in the form of his director. Nolan has become one of the biggest lots in the last few years, and everything he has been giving him a certain degree of cultural power and marketing support, which inevitably plays in the continued success in the box office.
Kovid-19 pandemic has changed a lot for theater windows
As the theaters reopened in the immediate consequences of the first major wave of Kovid-19 around the world, the studio adopted models of hybrid editions to adapt to the seriously reduced face attendance. In many cases, larger films have dropped to the appropriate streaming platforms on their study, day and date with their theater prime ministers. Warner Bros. led the indictment with this approach, with films as "a miracle of 1984" and "Godzilla against Kong" moving to HBO Max at the same time as they premiered in theaters.
In the years before Kovid-19, it was standard for films to have theater exclusivity for a period of about 90 days. It does not necessarily mean that the films will play for so long, but it meant that the digital and physical releases of homes would not diminish until that period expired. However, the damage to the pandemic, in combination with other major shakes in the industry, such as the strike of the writers of America in 2023, led to reduce this window for many editions. Even after the day and date, the streaming model ended in the wake of the pandemic, many studios continued to release their films digitally much earlier than the standard 90 days.
While much of it is due directly to the impact of closing the Kovid-19 theater, streaming itself has also played a major role in the shift.
How streaming affected the amount of time the films spent in cinemas
At the same time, that industry strikes and a global pandemic have resorted the film industry, streaming has become a de facto king of media around the world. What was once a small market inhabited by the likes of Netflix, Julu and FBO Max became incredibly crowded in the years around the pandemic, with Nbcuniversal, Disney, Paramount and more all of all their own platforms.
It meant that even when the attendance of the theater began to return, the studio had new incentives to bring fresh content to the digital platforms as quickly as possible. Many films are still falling for buying services for Blu-ray or VOD after their theater windows, and then streaming, so there is a buffer there, but with the bottom a great deal gave up on the sale of physical media, streaming became the basic secondary market to get extra value.
While the theaters do much better than they were immediately after the pandemic, they never recovered completely. Things continue to look worrying as more and more people adopt a home-made review that it is through streaming or digital rents-like their primary method of watching and movies and shows. This has resulted in many studios that the pre-Covid 90-day theater exclusivity window significantly, moving the media to home places as quickly as possible to strike while iron is still hot and grabbed viewers who simply do not want to go to the movies. While representatives of the movie theater have called for countermeasures in recent years, such as a standard 45-day exclusivity window through the studio, such measures seem to be unlikely to keep them.
Different theaters keep movies for different length of time
When we talk about how long the films remain in theaters, it is also important to recognize many different types of China. While large chains such as regal and AMC rule the industry, they work differently from smaller, independent theaters, which can be more common and have significantly dragging the community to certain markets. If you are a smaller theater with fewer screens, it is harder to keep older films, as those restrictions require frequent change to bring the latest releases.
Of course, the same goes for indie movies. While the opening weekend and the first few weeks are the most important for any movie, the word from the mouth can give long legs to movies that do not immediately explode in popularity. Pixar's "elemental" of 2023 is a great example. However, if the movie has no power on the Starwar or Marketing Budget that makes it a larger release, it probably won't get a chance to build that reputation of the mouth.
As a balloon with blockbusters budgets, every given year for publication is more and more dependent on fewer and fewer editions of "events", rather than the stable influx of smaller blockbusters that were formerly the norm. Individual films need to perform better and better to justify their Garging Costs, reducing the "middle class" of Chinese releases.
Most films are stretched in cinema between 30 and 60 days
Over the last few years, the standard movie theater race has been about 40 days. It is enough time to collect a little traction, but unfortunately it is simply not a room there for movies to make up for the slow starts in the box office. All of these factors - higher budgets, reducing the windows for exclusivity, reduced attendance and streaming growth - have set a little stifled potential for each individual film to become a theater success.
That said, all the hope is not lost for those of us who still believe that no home experience can be compared by watching a movie on the big screen with other film lovers. The apocalyptic talk about the dying theaters has been circulating for years, and while the business has surely suffered, it is still here. Similarly, Unexpected sensations such as Barbenheimer And massive modern hits like "Avatar: Water Road" prove that many people still want to go out to the movies if they are forced to go. Hopefully, that feeling will grow, even when the industry is struggling to adapt to the constant changing of the landscape.
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